From The Economic Times
Center-Right Owned by Bennett, Coleman & Co.Stocks rose after every US midterm elections since 1946. Why that streak may not mean what investors think
What's behind this
Donald Trump congratulated the Democrats on their 2026 midterm election victory and said the war with Iran played a role, while Iran’s chief negotiator claimed Americans rejected the war as the Democrats swept the elections. The Democratic win puts Hakeem Jeffries in line to become the first Black speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives. Their gains extended beyond Congress, flipping governorships in Georgia, Iowa, Texas and Ohio, including states Trump won in 2024. Trump accepted defeat as Democrats moved toward total control of Congress.
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Tomorrow Americans vote in the midterms, and a lot of investors are asking one thing; will stocks go up afterward? History says yes. The S&P 500 was higher a year after every midterm since 1946, 20 times out of 20. The average gain was 14.8%. That sounds like a sure thing. It isn’t, and here is why.
RSS excerpt
Tomorrow Americans vote in the midterms, and a lot of investors are asking one thing; will stocks go up afterward? History says yes. The S&P 500 was higher a year after every midterm since 1946, 20 times out of 20. The average gain was 14.8%. That sounds like a sure thing. It isn’t, and here is why.