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From The Economic Times

Center-Right Owned by Bennett, Coleman & Co.

Stocks rose after every US midterm elections since 1946. Why that streak may not mean what investors think

Stocks rose after every US midterm elections since 1946. Why that streak may not mean what investors think

What's behind this

Donald Trump congratulated the Democrats on their 2026 midterm election victory and said the war with Iran played a role, while Iran’s chief negotiator claimed Americans rejected the war as the Democrats swept the elections. The Democratic win puts Hakeem Jeffries in line to become the first Black speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives. Their gains extended beyond Congress, flipping governorships in Georgia, Iowa, Texas and Ohio, including states Trump won in 2024. Trump accepted defeat as Democrats moved toward total control of Congress.

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    Tomorrow Americans vote in the midterms, and a lot of investors are asking one thing; will stocks go up afterward? History says yes. The S&P 500 was higher a year after every midterm since 1946, 20 times out of 20. The average gain was 14.8%. That sounds like a sure thing. It isn’t, and here is why.

    — The Economic Times

RSS excerpt

Tomorrow Americans vote in the midterms, and a lot of investors are asking one thing; will stocks go up afterward? History says yes. The S&P 500 was higher a year after every midterm since 1946, 20 times out of 20. The average gain was 14.8%. That sounds like a sure thing. It isn’t, and here is why.

Coverage arrived over 37 hours — first from The Economic Times, latest from BusinessLine.

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The Economic Times Center-Right Bennett, Coleman & Co. Current article

Stocks rose after every US midterm elections since 1946. Why that streak may not mean what investors think

Tomorrow Americans vote in the midterms, and a lot of investors are asking one thing; will stocks go up afterward? History says yes. The S&P 500 was higher a year after every midterm since 1946, 20 times out of 20. The average gain was 14.8%. That sounds like a sure thing. It isn’t, and here is why.

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